Chris Godwin Jr. Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · TB vs GB · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 27.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
27.5Week 4 line
33.8Model median
59%Model over
62ProprScore

Model read: Chris Godwin Jr. projects 34 rec yds (median), 6.3 over the 27.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+5.2 yds) and pulled down by his team's pass volume vs. last season (-3.4 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Chris Godwin Jr. vs the 27.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3MIN254UNDER
Wk 2CLE463OVER
Wk 1CIN404OVER
25 wk18CAR81UNDER
25 wk17MIA1088OVER
25 wk16CAR306OVER
25 wk15ATL205UNDER
25 wk14NO558OVER
25 wk13ARI785OVER
25 wk12LA94UNDER

Graded against this week's 27.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

15.0%Share of team throws
4.7Targets / game
74%Routes run
5.9Avg depth of target
38.5Yards / game
74%Snap share

Chris Godwin Jr.'s other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.