Model read: CeeDee Lamb projects 63 rec yds (median), 13.3 under the 76.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by projected game total and pass rate (+0.8 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-11.3 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | BAL | 112 | 8 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | WAS | 153 | 9 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | NYG | 44 | 8 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | NYG | 4 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | WAS | 46 | 10 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | LAC | 51 | 7 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | MIN | 111 | 10 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | DET | 121 | 8 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | KC | 112 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | PHI | 75 | 11 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 76.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.