Carnell Tate Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · TEN vs BAL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

1 of 3cleared 42.5 receiving yards in his last 3
42.5Week 4 line
33.6Model median
39%Model over
56ProprScore

Model read: Carnell Tate projects 34 rec yds (median), 8.9 under the 42.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by target volume vs role baseline (+22.8 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Carnell Tate vs the 42.5 line — last 3 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3NYG589OVER
Wk 2PHI275UNDER
Wk 1NYJ386UNDER

Graded against this week's 42.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

20.1%Share of team throws
0Targets / game
20%Routes run
11Avg depth of target
0Yards / game
0%Snap share

Carnell Tate's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.