Cam Ward Passing Yards Prop — Week 4

QB · TEN vs BAL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

5 of 10cleared 185.5 passing yards in his last 10
185.5Week 4 line
251.3Model median
84%Model over
84ProprScore

Model read: Cam Ward projects 251 pass yds (median), 65.8 over the 185.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by game flow (+19.4 yds) and pulled down by team pass volume (-10.3 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Cam Ward vs the 185.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
25 wk18JAX52—UNDER
25 wk17NO251—OVER
25 wk16KC228—OVER
25 wk15SF170—UNDER
25 wk14CLE117—UNDER
25 wk13JAX141—UNDER
25 wk12SEA256—OVER
25 wk11HOU194—OVER
25 wk9LAC145—UNDER
25 wk8IND259—OVER

Graded against this week's 185.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

7.2Avg depth of target

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.