Model read: Cam Skattebo projects 16 rec yds (median), 1.2 under the 17.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by yards per target the defense allows (+1.7 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-6.1 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | TEN | 40 | 4 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | LA | 19 | 4 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | DAL | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk8 | PHI | 18 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk7 | DEN | 34 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk6 | PHI | 12 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk5 | NO | 45 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk4 | LAC | 11 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk3 | KC | 61 | 8 | OVER |
| 25 wk2 | DAL | 14 | 3 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 17.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.