Model read: Bryce Young projects 224 pass yds (median), 24.1 under the 248.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by game flow (+4.9 yds) and pulled down by team pass volume (-57.5 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 wk18 | TB | 266 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | SEA | 54 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | TB | 191 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | NO | 163 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | LA | 206 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | SF | 169 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | ATL | 448 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk10 | NO | 124 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk9 | GB | 102 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk7 | NYJ | 138 | — | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 248.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.