Model read: Brenton Strange projects 36 rec yds (median), 1.4 over the 34.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+6.1 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-2.5 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | NE | 32 | 5 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | DEN | 17 | 2 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | CLE | 23 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | TEN | 52 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | IND | 54 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | DEN | 39 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | NYJ | 26 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | IND | 27 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | TEN | 45 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | ARI | 93 | 5 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 34.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.