Model read: Bhayshul Tuten projects 12 rec yds (median), 1.5 over the 10.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+3.5 yds) and pulled down by average target depth and yards after the catch (-0.7 yds). Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | NE | 17 | 2 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | DEN | -3 | 2 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | CLE | 22 | 1 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | TEN | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | NYJ | 16 | 1 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | IND | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | TEN | 2 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | ARI | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | LAC | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk10 | HOU | 5 | 2 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 10.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.