Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

TE · ATL vs NO · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

8 of 10cleared 10.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
10.5Week 4 line
20.1Model median
71%Model over
76ProprScore

Model read: Austin Hooper projects 20 rec yds (median), 9.6 over the 10.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by less certain of his role after the move (+5.0 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-2.0 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Austin Hooper vs the 10.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3GB112OVER
Wk 2CAR204OVER
25 wk18MIA51UNDER
25 wk17NYJ112OVER
25 wk16BAL344OVER
25 wk12CIN394OVER
25 wk10TB01UNDER
25 wk9ATL201OVER
25 wk8CLE382OVER
25 wk7TEN112OVER

Graded against this week's 10.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

8.2%Share of team throws
2.5Targets / game
40%Routes run
6.4Avg depth of target
17.9Yards / game
40%Snap share

Austin Hooper's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.