Model read: Austin Hooper projects 20 rec yds (median), 9.6 over the 10.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by less certain of his role after the move (+5.0 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-2.0 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | GB | 11 | 2 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | CAR | 20 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | MIA | 5 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | NYJ | 11 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | BAL | 34 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | CIN | 39 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk10 | TB | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk9 | ATL | 20 | 1 | OVER |
| 25 wk8 | CLE | 38 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk7 | TEN | 11 | 2 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 10.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.