Alvin Kamara Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · NO vs ATL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

4 of 10cleared 3.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
3.5Week 4 line
2Model median
20%Model over
76ProprScore

Model read: Alvin Kamara projects 2 catches (median), 1.5 under the 3.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Alvin Kamara vs the 3.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3LV11UNDER
Wk 2BAL56OVER
25 wk12ATL22UNDER
25 wk10CAR33UNDER
25 wk9LA13UNDER
25 wk8TB22UNDER
25 wk7CHI33UNDER
25 wk6NE55OVER
25 wk5NYG46OVER
25 wk4BUF45OVER

Graded against this week's 3.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

10.1%Share of team throws
3.5Targets / game
47%Routes run
-0.1Avg depth of target
11.5Yards / game
47%Snap share

Alvin Kamara's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.