Model read: Adam Trautman projects 9 rec yds (median), 3.9 over the 5.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+2.9 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-3.4 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | KC | 10 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | KC | 24 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | JAX | 14 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | LV | 17 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | WAS | 47 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk11 | KC | 8 | 1 | OVER |
| 25 wk10 | LV | 2 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk9 | HOU | 25 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk8 | DAL | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk5 | PHI | 11 | 1 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 5.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.